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Liverpool vs Crystal Palace — Premier League Prediction 25 April 2026

Liverpool
Liverpool
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 25 Apr, 14:00 · Referee: Andy Madley (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Final result
3 – 1
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in —

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Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Liverpool is the favourite with a 64% win probability. Crystal Palace has a 15% chance of winning and 21% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Liverpool vs Crystal Palace

This match centers on redemption versus psychological dominance. Liverpool has struggled to break down Oliver Glasner’s disciplined 3-4-2-1 low block this season. The weather in Liverpool is expected to be cold and overcast with possible light showers, favoring a slick surface for Liverpool’s high-tempo passing, but also increasing the risk for an inexperienced goalkeeper like Woodman under pressure.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%
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Scenario Explanation

Scenario 1: Liverpool narrow win (55%). The Anfield factor and the desperation for Top 4 points usually prevail late in the season. Salah and Isak’s quality should eventually bypass Palace's defense. Scenario 2: Frustrating Draw (30%). Palace sits deep and exploits Liverpool’s vulnerability in goal on the counter, similar to their previous 1-1 and 2-1 results. Scenario 3: Palace clinical upset (15%). If Woodman struggles early and Palace scores first, Liverpool’s recent xG underperformance suggests they may panic. Verdict: A hard-fought 2-1 for Liverpool as the need for UCL qualification outweighs the historical 'hoodoo' of this season.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
3 Manchester United FC 38 20 11 7 +19 71
4 Aston Villa FC 38 19 8 11 +7 65
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 -6 54
···
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
Liverpool
Crystal Palace

Projected xG by CoachAI

2.08

Home xG

1.15

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Liverpool Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 0 D · 3 L
▼
▼
▼
19/4 Everton FC 1-2 Liverpool FC W 1.68
14/4 Liverpool FC 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain FC L 2.05
11/4 Liverpool FC 2-0 Fulham FC W 2.10
8/4 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2-0 Liverpool FC L 1.45
21/3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2-1 Liverpool FC L 1.78

Crystal Palace Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 2 D · 1 L
▼
▲
▼
▲
20/4 Crystal Palace FC 0-0 West Ham United FC D 1.54
12/4 Crystal Palace FC 2-1 Newcastle United FC W 1.48
15/3 Crystal Palace FC 0-0 Leeds United FC D 1.42
5/3 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-3 Crystal Palace FC W 1.30
1/3 Manchester United FC 2-1 Crystal Palace FC L 1.05
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Liverpool faces a goalkeeping crisis; with Alisson a major doubt and Mamardashvili injured, third-choice Freddie Woodman is expected to make his first league start at Anfield.

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Crystal Palace is Liverpool's 'bogey team' this season, having already defeated them three times across all competitions (Premier League, EFL Cup, and Community Shield).

person 3

High stakes for Liverpool: Currently 5th and fighting for a Champions League spot, whereas Palace (13th) is safe in mid-table with less pressure but high motivation for a historic quadruple win over the Reds.

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Injuries & Absentees

Liverpool is severely hampered in defense and goal. Aside from the goalkeeper crisis (Woodman potentially replacing Alisson/Mamardashvili), they are missing Wataru Endo (midfield stability) and Hugo Ekitiké (attack). Crystal Palace is missing creative depth with Cheick Doucouré and Eddie Nketiah out, but the core of Mateta and Brennan Johnson is fit and excels in transitions.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 64% for Liverpool, 21% draw and 15% for Crystal Palace.

What is the recent form of Liverpool and Crystal Palace?

Liverpool form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. Crystal Palace form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Liverpool is severely hampered in defense and goal. Aside from the goalkeeper crisis (Woodman potentially replacing Alisson/Mamardashvili), they are missing Wataru Endo (midfield stability) and Hugo Ekitiké (attack). Crystal Palace is missing creative depth with Cheick Doucouré and Eddie Nketiah out, but the core of Mateta and Brennan Johnson is fit and excels in transitions.

What are the current standings for Liverpool and Crystal Palace in the Premier League?

Liverpool are 5th in the Premier League with 60 points from 38 games. Crystal Palace are 15th with 45 points from 38 games.

What time does Liverpool vs Crystal Palace kick off?

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Saturday, 25 April 2026 at 16:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

The referee for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League is Andy Madley.

What are the key factors for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace: 1. Liverpool faces a goalkeeping crisis; with Alisson a major doubt and Mamardashvili injured, third-choice Freddie Woodman is expected to make his first league start at Anfield. 2. Crystal Palace is Liverpool's 'bogey team' this season, having already defeated them three times across all competitions (Premier League, EFL Cup, and Community Shield). 3. High stakes for Liverpool: Currently 5th and fighting for a Champions League spot, whereas Palace (13th) is safe in mid-table with less pressure but high motivation for a historic quadruple win over the Reds..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.