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Leeds United vs Nottingham: Premier League Prediction 6 February 2026

Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 06 Feb, 20:00 · Referee: Peter Bankes (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
3 – 1
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
✗ Missed: next one’s ours
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for Leeds United vs Nottingham in the Premier League. Leeds United comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Leeds United vs Nottingham

Leeds United beat Nottingham 3-1 in the Premier League (matchday 25) on 6 February 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 1-1: the outcome was not right.

Result3-1
Coach AI1-1not right
FansNottingham win (71%)not right
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Pre-match preview: Leeds United vs Nottingham

This is a high-stakes 'relegation six-pointer' with both teams level on 26 points. Elland Road will provide a hostile atmosphere, but Forest's recent 4-game unbeaten streak (including a 0-0 against Arsenal) suggests they have found the defensive resilience required for survival scraps. Referee Peter Bankes (averaging 4.1 cards per game) is expected to handle a physical encounter with frequent tactical fouls.

#LEENOT #LeedsUnited #Nottingham #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

60%
34%
38%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

The narrative suggests a game of 'attack vs. defense.' Leeds will likely dominate 60%+ possession and generate double-digit shots, but their lack of a clinical edge (underperforming xG in 3 of the last 5) meets a Forest side that has mastered the art of the stalemate under Dyche. While Forest's keeper situation is a vulnerability, Leeds' defensive fragility (42 goals conceded) often yields a goal on the counter. The market likely overestimates a Leeds home win due to historical bias; however, the data points toward a low-scoring draw. Value Tip: Under 2.5 goals or Draw. Probabilities: Home Win 34%, Draw 38%, Away Win 28%.

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table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Leeds United
Nottingham
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Leeds United D Nottingham
29%
71%
29% 0% 71%

Most predicted scorelines

1-2 43%
0-1 29%
2-1 29%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Leeds United and Nottingham in Football Meister data

0Leeds United wins
0draws
1Nottingham wins

Goals: 1 for Leeds United, 3 for Nottingham.

Previous meetings

  • 9 Nov 2025Nottingham3Leeds United1

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Leeds United at home

1.6

scored

1.4

conceded

12 matches

0
7 of 24 (29%)
1
9 of 24 (38%)
2
3 of 24 (13%)
3+
5 of 24 (21%)

Usually 1. Scores in 71% of matches.

Nottingham away

0.9

scored

1.4

conceded

12 matches

0
11 of 24 (46%)
1
6 of 24 (25%)
2
3 of 24 (13%)
3+
4 of 24 (17%)

Usually 0. Scores in 54% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Leeds United Nottingham
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.52

Home xG

1.18

Away xG

Upset risk

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Leeds United Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
▼
▼
31/1 Leeds United FC 0-4 Arsenal FC L 1.15
26/1 Everton FC 1-1 Leeds United FC D 1.38
17/1 Leeds United FC 1-0 Fulham FC W 1.56
7/1 Newcastle United FC 4-3 Leeds United FC L
4/1 Leeds United FC 1-1 Manchester United FC D

Nottingham Recent Form: Last 5

2 W · 2 D · 1 L
▲
▼
1/2 Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 Crystal Palace FC D 1.48
25/1 Brentford FC 0-2 Nottingham Forest FC W 1.02
17/1 Nottingham Forest FC 0-0 Arsenal FC D 1.05
6/1 West Ham United FC 1-2 Nottingham Forest FC W
3/1 Aston Villa FC 3-1 Nottingham Forest FC L
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Tactical Clash: Leeds' high-intensity press (PPDA ~9.5) and shot volume (13.27/game) vs. Sean Dyche's organized low block and transition-heavy 4-5-1.

trending_up 2

Goalkeeper Crisis: Forest's Matz Sels is a major doubt; new signing Stefan Ortega may be thrust into a high-pressure debut behind a makeshift defense.

person 3

Statistical Regression: Leeds have consistently underperformed their home xG (creating 1.5+ but often netting 1 or 0), while Forest have shown clinical efficiency on the road (averaging 0.92 goals from fewer big chances).

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Leeds are severely hampered by the absence of midfielder Anton Stach (hip) and striker Lukas Nmecha (hamstring), stripping them of their primary creative link and clinical finisher. Forest face a defensive crisis with Neco Williams suspended and Callum Hudson-Odoi (shoulder) a doubt, which limits their counter-attacking speed on the flanks, forcing a more static, defensive approach.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Leeds United vs Nottingham?

Leeds United beat Nottingham 3-1 in the Premier League (matchday 25) on 6 February 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Leeds United vs Nottingham correctly?

Coach AI predicted 1-1: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Nottingham win (71%), which was not right.

What is the correct score prediction for Leeds United vs Nottingham?

Coach AI predicts 1-1 as the correct score for Leeds United vs Nottingham. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Leeds United and Nottingham?

Leeds United form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Nottingham form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Leeds United vs Nottingham?

Leeds are severely hampered by the absence of midfielder Anton Stach (hip) and striker Lukas Nmecha (hamstring), stripping them of their primary creative link and clinical finisher. Forest face a defensive crisis with Neco Williams suspended and Callum Hudson-Odoi (shoulder) a doubt, which limits their counter-attacking speed on the flanks, forcing a more static, defensive approach.

How many goals do Leeds United and Nottingham score on average?

Leeds United score at home 1.6 goals on average and concede 1.4 (12 matches). Nottingham score away 0.9 goals on average and concede 1.4 (12 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Leeds United and Nottingham?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Leeds United and Nottingham: Leeds United won 0, Nottingham won 1 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 1-3.

What was the last result between Leeds United and Nottingham?

The last meeting was on 9 Nov 2025: Nottingham - Leeds United 3-1.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Leeds United vs Nottingham?

Among Football Meister players, 29% back a home win for Leeds United, 0% a draw, and 71% an away win for Nottingham. The most predicted scoreline is 1-2. Fans are more cautious than Coach AI on Leeds United: fans pick 29% home win, Coach AI calculates 43%.

What is the most popular prediction for Leeds United vs Nottingham?

The most predicted scoreline for Leeds United vs Nottingham is 1-2. Of all Football Meister players, 29% back Leeds United, 0% a draw and 71% Nottingham.

What are the current standings for Leeds United and Nottingham in the Premier League?

Leeds United are 7th in the Premier League with 10 points from 7 games. Nottingham are 18th with 5 points from 7 games.

What time does Leeds United vs Nottingham kick off?

Leeds United vs Nottingham kicks off on Friday, 6 February 2026 at 20:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Leeds United vs Nottingham?

The referee for Leeds United vs Nottingham in the Premier League is Peter Bankes.

What are the key factors for Leeds United vs Nottingham?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Leeds United vs Nottingham: 1. Tactical Clash: Leeds' high-intensity press (PPDA ~9.5) and shot volume (13.27/game) vs. Sean Dyche's organized low block and transition-heavy 4-5-1. 2. Goalkeeper Crisis: Forest's Matz Sels is a major doubt; new signing Stefan Ortega may be thrust into a high-pressure debut behind a makeshift defense. 3. Statistical Regression: Leeds have consistently underperformed their home xG (creating 1.5+ but often netting 1 or 0), while Forest have shown clinical efficiency on the road (averaging 0.92 goals from fewer big chances)..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Leeds United vs Nottingham?

Coach AI sees Leeds United as the stronger side in Leeds United vs Nottingham. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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