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Leeds United vs Crystal Palace — Premier League Prediction 20 September 2026

Premier League
3
VS
0
schedule 20 Sept, 14:00 · Referee: Adam Herczeg (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 20 Sept 2026

Likely Goal Scorers
sports_soccer Dominic Calvert-Lewin sports_soccer Noah Okafor
Final result
0 – 0
CoachAI prediction
3 – 0
✗ Missed — next one’s ours
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 3-0 for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Leeds United is the favourite with a 53% win probability. Crystal Palace has a 21% chance of winning and 26% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Leeds United vs Crystal Palace

Leeds sits in 6th and is currently unbeaten, looking to capitalize on Elland Road's atmosphere to move toward the Top 4. Crystal Palace is languishing in 17th with only 3 points. While Palace had a confidence-boosting 4-0 win in Europe on Thursday, the physical toll of travel and rotation against Leeds' relentless press is a major disadvantage.

#LEECRY #LeedsUnited #CrystalPalace #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

65%
25%
10%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

1 win over Newcastle with only 1.35 xG) suggests they will exploit a Palace defense forced to start inexperienced players like Honest Ahanor. Palace's primary outlet (Mateta) being absent significantly reduces their counter-attacking threat. Scenario 1: Leeds scores early and exploits a tired Palace (65%). Scenario 2: Palace sits deep but eventually breaks in the second half (25%). Scenario 3: Palace finds a fluke goal and grinds out a draw (10%).
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 4 4 0 0 +6 12
2 Arsenal FC 5 4 0 1 +4 12
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 5 3 1 1 +11 10
4 Brentford FC 5 2 3 0 +6 9
5 Everton FC 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Leeds United FC 4 2 2 0 +4 8
7 Hull City AFC 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Newcastle United FC 5 2 2 1 0 8
9 Chelsea FC 5 2 1 2 -2 7
10 Liverpool FC 4 1 3 0 +2 6
11 Ipswich Town FC 5 2 0 3 -4 6
12 Nottingham Forest FC 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Manchester United FC 4 1 1 2 0 4
14 Sunderland AFC 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Aston Villa FC 5 1 1 3 -5 4
16 AFC Bournemouth 4 0 3 1 -1 3
17 Crystal Palace FC 4 1 0 3 -5 3
18 Coventry City FC 5 1 0 4 -9 3
19 Tottenham Hotspur FC 5 0 2 3 -6 2
20 Fulham FC 4 0 1 3 -3 1
Leeds United
Crystal Palace
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Leeds United D Crystal Palace
89%
11%
89% 11% 0%

Most predicted scorelines

2-1 67%
1-1 11%
2-0 11%
3-0 11%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players — not AI-generated data.

Most likely scorelines

3-0 18% 3-1 14% 2-0 12%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 18%
3-1 14%
2-0 12%
Crystal Palace (Away)
Leeds United (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
1
6.0%
6.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
2
12.0%
9.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3
18.0%
14.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
8.0%
10.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Probabilities are heavily skewed toward high-margin home wins (3-0, 4-1) due to Palace's league-worst defense (2.75 GA/G) and the absence of their three most important defensive/leadership players (Henderson, Disasi, Mateta).

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Coach AI Odds

Leeds United
53% · 26% · 21%
Crystal Palace
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.68

Home xG

1.15

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Leeds United Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 2 D · 1 L
14/9 Leeds United FC 4-1 Newcastle United FC W 1.35
5/9 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1-1 Leeds United FC D 1.18
30/8 Leeds United FC 1-1 Brentford FC D 1.55
22/8 Nottingham Forest FC 0-1 Leeds United FC W 1.45
24/5 West Ham United FC 3-0 Leeds United FC L 1.65

Crystal Palace Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 0 D · 4 L
12/9 Crystal Palace FC 2-3 Ipswich Town FC L 1.35
5/9 Fulham FC 2-3 Crystal Palace FC W 1.12
28/8 Crystal Palace FC 1-4 Manchester City FC L 1.05
22/8 Everton FC 2-0 Crystal Palace FC L 1.20
24/5 Crystal Palace FC 1-2 Arsenal FC L 1.10
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Massive defensive disparity: Leeds averages 2.40 goals at home while Palace concedes 2.40 away, exacerbated by Palace missing their starting GK and captain.

trending_up 2

Leeds' high-intensity pressing: With a home PPDA of 8.8, Leeds will likely overwhelm a Palace side suffering from midweek Europa League fatigue.

person 3

Palace's 'spine' vacuum: The visitors are missing their top scorer (Mateta), primary goalkeeper (Henderson), and defensive leader (Disasi) due to injury and suspension.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Leeds is without Harry Wilson and Joe Rodon, but their depth allows James Justin and Noah Okafor to fill those gaps seamlessly. Palace is in a crisis: star striker Jean-Philippe Mateta and GK Dean Henderson are out until after the international break. Furthermore, Axel Disasi's suspension leaves a massive hole in a defense that has already conceded 11 goals this season.

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Key Players

Leeds United

Dominic Calvert-Lewin ST
personIn Form
Noah Okafor ST
personIn Form

Crystal Palace

Adam Wharton CM
personKey Threat
Jørgen Strand Larsen ST
personIn Form
group

Confirmed Lineups

Leeds United Confirmed

3-5-2

9
Calvert-Lewin ST
19
Okafor ST
22
Tanaka CM
18
Stach CM
4
Ampadu CM
24
Justin CB
5
Muharemović CB
30
Elvedi CB
3
Gudmundsson CB
2
Bogle CB
1
Trafford GK

Bench

16 Michael Zetterer 26 Melvin Bard 15 Jaka Bijol 11 Brenden Aaronson 44 Ilia Gruev 8 Sean Longstaff 23 Jean Bahoya 7 Daniel James 14 Lukas Nmecha
Crystal Palace Confirmed

3-4-2-1

10
Pino ST
22
Larsen ST
20
Wharton CM
23
Timber CM
18
Kamada CM
6
Canvot CB
26
Richards CB
17
Tomiyasu CB
3
Mitchell CB
25
Khalaili CB
44
Benítez GK

Bench

31 Remi Matthews 33 Ben Chilwell 30 Óscar Mingueza 28 Cheick Doucouré 8 Jefferson Lerma 11 Dwight McNeil 9 Eddie Nketiah 24 Darío Osorio 7 Ismaïla Sarr

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI predicts a score of 3-0 with a win probability of 53% for Leeds United, 26% draw and 21% for Crystal Palace.

What is the recent form of Leeds United and Crystal Palace?

Leeds United form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. Crystal Palace form (last 5): 1W-0D-4L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

Leeds is without Harry Wilson and Joe Rodon, but their depth allows James Justin and Noah Okafor to fill those gaps seamlessly. Palace is in a crisis: star striker Jean-Philippe Mateta and GK Dean Henderson are out until after the international break. Furthermore, Axel Disasi's suspension leaves a massive hole in a defense that has already conceded 11 goals this season.

What is the most likely correct score for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

According to the score probability matrix, 3-0 is the most likely scoreline (18%), followed by 3-1 (14%) and 2-0 (12%).

What do football fans and other predictors think about Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

Among Football Meister players, 89% back a home win for Leeds United, 11% a draw, and 0% an away win for Crystal Palace. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Leeds United: fans pick 89% home win, Coach AI calculates 53%.

What is the most popular prediction for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

The most predicted scoreline for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace is 2-1. Of all Football Meister players, 89% back Leeds United, 11% a draw and 0% Crystal Palace.

How confident are fans about Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

89% of fans predict a win for Leeds United, with an average confidence of 64% (moderate confidence). Despite 89% backing this outcome, conviction is only moderate confidence (64%) — a sign this match is less clear-cut than the split suggests.

Who do fans pick as the likely scorer in Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

33% of Football Meister players expect Dominic Calvert-Lewin to score in Leeds United vs Crystal Palace.

What are the current standings for Leeds United and Crystal Palace in the Premier League?

Leeds United are 6th in the Premier League with 8 points from 4 games. Crystal Palace are 17th with 3 points from 4 games.

What is the confirmed lineup for Leeds United and Crystal Palace?

Confirmed lineup Leeds United (3-5-2): James Trafford, James Justin, Tarik Muharemović, Nico Elvedi, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Jayden Bogle, Ao Tanaka, Anton Stach, Ethan Ampadu, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor. Confirmed lineup Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1): Walter Benítez, Jaydee Canvot, Chris Richards, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Tyrick Mitchell, Anan Khalaili, Adam Wharton, Quinten Timber, Daichi Kamada, Yeremi Pino, Jørgen Strand Larsen. These lineups were confirmed by the clubs when the official team sheets were submitted.

What time does Leeds United vs Crystal Palace kick off?

Leeds United vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

The referee for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League is Adam Herczeg.

What are the key factors for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace: 1. Massive defensive disparity: Leeds averages 2.40 goals at home while Palace concedes 2.40 away, exacerbated by Palace missing their starting GK and captain. 2. Leeds' high-intensity pressing: With a home PPDA of 8.8, Leeds will likely overwhelm a Palace side suffering from midweek Europa League fatigue. 3. Palace's 'spine' vacuum: The visitors are missing their top scorer (Mateta), primary goalkeeper (Henderson), and defensive leader (Disasi) due to injury and suspension..

Who are the key players for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace. Leeds United: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (In Form), Noah Okafor (In Form). Crystal Palace: Adam Wharton (Key Threat), Jørgen Strand Larsen (In Form).

What are the Coach AI odds for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace: Leeds United wins 53%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace wins 21%. The most likely outcome is Leeds United with 53%.

What are the bookmaker odds for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

Bookmakers give Leeds United a 58% win probability, 25% draw and Crystal Palace 17% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 62% for Leeds United, 20% draw and 18% for Crystal Palace.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.