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Leeds United vs Burnley: Premier League Prediction 1 May 2026

Premier League
2
VS
0
schedule 01 May, 20:00 · Referee: Thomas Bramall (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
3 – 1
CoachAI prediction
2 – 0
✓ Outcome: CALLED IT
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-0 for Leeds United vs Burnley in the Premier League. Leeds United comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Leeds United vs Burnley

Leeds United beat Burnley 3-1 in the Premier League (matchday 35) on 1 May 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 2-0: the right outcome, but not the exact score.

Result3-1
Coach AI2-0right
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Pre-match preview: Leeds United vs Burnley

This is a 'Safety Celebration' for Leeds vs. 'Professional Pride' for Burnley. Burnley's relegation was confirmed last week, leading to the departure of Scott Parker. Conversely, Leeds reached 40 points but remains technically cautious after the teams below them won recently. Referee Thomas Bramall is officiating; he has a history of controversy with Leeds (wrongly sending off Gudmundsson in March), which might lead to a more disciplined approach from Farke’s men.

#LEEBUR #LeedsUnited #Burnley #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

65%
20%
15%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

The most likely scenario (65%) is a controlled Leeds victory where they exploit Burnley's lack of defensive organization under an interim coach. Burnley's moral is at an all-time low after four consecutive losses. There is a 20% chance of a low-scoring draw if Burnley opts for a deep 'parking the bus' strategy to avoid a heavy defeat. A Burnley 'dead-cat bounce' win is highly unlikely (15%) given their 1-in-25 win rate. Leeds' form (DWWDD) and Burnley's average of 2.0 goals conceded per game strongly point toward a comfortable home win.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Leeds United
Burnley
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Head to head

Leeds United and Burnley in Football Meister data

0Leeds United wins
0draws
1Burnley wins

Goals: 0 for Leeds United, 2 for Burnley.

Previous meetings

  • 18 Oct 2025Burnley2Leeds United0

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Leeds United at home

1.5

scored

1.2

conceded

17 matches

0
11 of 34 (32%)
1
10 of 34 (29%)
2
6 of 34 (18%)
3+
7 of 34 (21%)

Usually 0. Scores in 68% of matches.

Burnley away

1.1

scored

2.5

conceded

17 matches

0
13 of 34 (38%)
1
11 of 34 (32%)
2
7 of 34 (21%)
3+
3 of 34 (9%)

Usually 0. Scores in 62% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Leeds United Burnley
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.88

Home xG

0.92

Away xG

Upset risk

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Leeds United Recent Form: Last 5

2 W · 3 D · 0 L
▲
▲
▲
▼
▼
22/4 AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds United FC D 1.45
18/4 Leeds United FC 3-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC W 1.72
13/4 Manchester United FC 1-2 Leeds United FC W 1.15
21/3 Leeds United FC 0-0 Brentford FC D 1.35
15/3 Crystal Palace FC 0-0 Leeds United FC D 1.38

Burnley Recent Form: Last 5

0 W · 1 D · 4 L
▼
▼
▼
22/4 Burnley FC 0-1 Manchester City FC L 0.74
19/4 Nottingham Forest FC 4-1 Burnley FC L 0.94
11/4 Burnley FC 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 1.05
21/3 Fulham FC 3-1 Burnley FC L 0.92
14/3 Burnley FC 0-0 AFC Bournemouth D 1.10
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Leeds Efficiency vs. Burnley’s Porous Defense: Leeds have overperformed their xG in three of their last five matches, whereas Burnley concedes an average of 2.0 goals per game (68 total).

trending_up 2

Managerial Crisis: Burnley arrives at Elland Road with interim manager Mike Jackson following Scott Parker's dismissal on April 30, 2026, after their relegation was confirmed.

person 3

Elland Road Advantage: Leeds are unbeaten in their last three home games without conceding a goal, and historically have a strong record against already relegated sides (aggregate 18-3 in recent seasons).

bolt 4

Statistical Disparity: Leeds averages 12.8 shots per match with high finishing efficiency from Calvert-Lewin (11 goals), while Burnley has managed only one win in their last 25 league matches.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Leeds are missing key midfielder Ilia Gruev (season-ending knee) and wing-back Gabriel Gudmundsson (hamstring). However, the return of Anton Stach provides stability. Burnley is severely depleted with Josh Cullen, Connor Roberts, and Jordan Beyer out, leaving their backline vulnerable to Leeds' high-tempo transition play.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Leeds United vs Burnley?

Leeds United beat Burnley 3-1 in the Premier League (matchday 35) on 1 May 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Leeds United vs Burnley correctly?

Coach AI predicted 2-0: the right outcome, but not the exact score.

What is the correct score prediction for Leeds United vs Burnley?

Coach AI predicts 2-0 as the correct score for Leeds United vs Burnley. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Leeds United and Burnley?

Leeds United form (last 5): 2W-3D-0L. Burnley form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Leeds United vs Burnley?

Leeds are missing key midfielder Ilia Gruev (season-ending knee) and wing-back Gabriel Gudmundsson (hamstring). However, the return of Anton Stach provides stability. Burnley is severely depleted with Josh Cullen, Connor Roberts, and Jordan Beyer out, leaving their backline vulnerable to Leeds' high-tempo transition play.

How many goals do Leeds United and Burnley score on average?

Leeds United score at home 1.5 goals on average and concede 1.2 (17 matches). Burnley score away 1.1 goals on average and concede 2.5 (17 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Leeds United and Burnley?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Leeds United and Burnley: Leeds United won 0, Burnley won 1 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 0-2.

What was the last result between Leeds United and Burnley?

The last meeting was on 18 Oct 2025: Burnley - Leeds United 2-0.

What time does Leeds United vs Burnley kick off?

Leeds United vs Burnley kicks off on Friday, 1 May 2026 at 20:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Leeds United vs Burnley?

The referee for Leeds United vs Burnley in the Premier League is Thomas Bramall.

What are the key factors for Leeds United vs Burnley?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Leeds United vs Burnley: 1. Leeds Efficiency vs. Burnley’s Porous Defense: Leeds have overperformed their xG in three of their last five matches, whereas Burnley concedes an average of 2.0 goals per game (68 total). 2. Managerial Crisis: Burnley arrives at Elland Road with interim manager Mike Jackson following Scott Parker's dismissal on April 30, 2026, after their relegation was confirmed. 3. Elland Road Advantage: Leeds are unbeaten in their last three home games without conceding a goal, and historically have a strong record against already relegated sides (aggregate 18-3 in recent seasons). 4. Statistical Disparity: Leeds averages 12.8 shots per match with high finishing efficiency from Calvert-Lewin (11 goals), while Burnley has managed only one win in their last 25 league matches..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Leeds United vs Burnley?

Coach AI sees Leeds United as the stronger side in Leeds United vs Burnley. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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