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Fulham vs Crystal Palace — Premier League Prediction 5 September 2026

Fulham
Fulham
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 05 Sept, 15:00
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 05 Sept 2026

Likely Goal Scorers
sports_soccer Gonzalo García sports_soccer Eddie Nketiah
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Fulham vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Fulham is the favourite with a 42% win probability. Crystal Palace has a 30% chance of winning and 28% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Fulham vs Crystal Palace

This is a high-stakes 'relegation six-pointer' unusually early in the season, as both sides sit on 0 points. Fulham has the psychological edge of playing at home where they historically concede only 1.00 per game. The weather is forecast to be sunny and 24°C, which benefits Fulham's technical ball-players like Smith Rowe and Palacios. Referee Samuel Barrott is known for a high yellow card average (3.8), which could pressure Palace's already struggling defenders to play less aggressively.

#FULCRY #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

58%
30%
12%

Fulham Tactical Dominance

58%

Fulham controls the midfield and exploits Palace's experimental defense to secure their first three points of the season.

Tense Low-Scoring Draw

30%

Both teams play conservatively to avoid a third consecutive loss, resulting in a cagey 0-0 or 1-1 stalemate.

Palace Counter-Attack Surprise

12%

Despite missing Mateta, Palace uses the pace of Nketiah and Yeremi Pino to punish Fulham on the break.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Arsenal FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Hull City AFC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Chelsea FC 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Liverpool FC 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Brentford FC 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Newcastle United FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Everton FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Leeds United FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2 1 0 1 +3 3
11 Manchester United FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Sunderland AFC 2 1 0 1 0 3
13 Ipswich Town FC 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 AFC Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Nottingham Forest FC 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Fulham FC 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Coventry City FC 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Crystal Palace FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
19 Aston Villa FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
19 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
Fulham
Crystal Palace

Most likely scorelines

2-0 15% 1-0 13% 1-1 12%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 15%
1-0 13%
1-1 12%
Crystal Palace (Away)
Fulham (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
8.0%
5.0%
0.0%
0.0%
1
13.0%
12.0%
9.0%
0.0%
0.0%
2
15.0%
12.0%
4.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3
8.0%
6.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Palace's 3.0 goals conceded per game and the loss of Mateta (ST) and Munoz (RB) justify a shift toward a multi-goal Fulham victory. Symmetric xG underperformance suggests a goal breakout, with Fulham's superior 1.42 xG indicating they are the more likely beneficiary.

percent

Coach AI Odds

Fulham
42% · 28% · 30%
Crystal Palace
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.45

Home xG

1.12

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Fulham Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
30/8 Sunderland AFC 1-0 Fulham FC L 1.38
24/8 Fulham FC 2-3 Chelsea FC L 1.42
24/5 Fulham FC 2-0 Newcastle United FC W 1.42
17/5 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1-1 Fulham FC D 1.45
9/5 Fulham FC 0-1 AFC Bournemouth L 1.35

Crystal Palace Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 1 D · 4 L
28/8 Crystal Palace FC 1-4 Manchester City FC L 1.05
22/8 Everton FC 2-0 Crystal Palace FC L 1.20
24/5 Crystal Palace FC 1-2 Arsenal FC L 1.10
17/5 Brentford FC 2-2 Crystal Palace FC D 1.04
13/5 Manchester City FC 3-0 Crystal Palace FC L 0.92
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Fulham has consistently outperformed its expected goals (xG) at home (avg 1.60), while Crystal Palace's away defense is leaking 2.60 goals per game.

trending_up 2

Palace faces a significant attacking void with star striker Jean-Philippe Mateta ruled out due to a thigh injury, forcing a reliance on newcomer Eddie Nketiah.

person 3

Tactical mismatch: Álvaro Arbeloa's proactive possession-based style at Craven Cottage against a Pierre Sage defense that has conceded 6 goals in its first two matches.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Crystal Palace is severely handicapped by the loss of Jean-Philippe Mateta (thigh) and Ismaïla Sarr (groin), removing their primary physical threat up front. Chadi Riad remains out, leaving a gap in central defense that loanee Axel Disasi may have to fill without proper integration. Fulham misses veteran Tom Cairney (knee), but the presence of Emile Smith Rowe and Sander Berge provides ample creative coverage in the middle.

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Key Players

Fulham

Gonzalo García ST
personIn Form
Joachim Andersen CB
personKey Threat

Crystal Palace

Adam Wharton CM
personIn Form
Eddie Nketiah ST
personKey Threat
group

Expected Lineups

Expected — may change before kickoff
Fulham Expected

4-3-3

person
Kevin LW
person
Garcia ST
person
Bobb RW
person
Berge CDM
person
Rowe CM
person
Iwobi CM
person
Robinson LB
person
Andersen CB
person
Bassey CB
person
Castagne RB
person
Leno GK

Cairney remains the only senior absentee. Larsson and Affengruber likely to start from the bench.

Crystal Palace Estimated

3-4-2-1

person
Nketiah ST
person
Eze CAM
person
Kamada CAM
person
Wharton CM
person
Lerma CM
person
Mitchell LB
person
Guehi CB
person
Richards CB
person
Chalobah CB
person
Clyne RB
person
Henderson GK

Mateta and Riad are major losses. Nketiah expected to lead the line after late window move.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 42% for Fulham, 28% draw and 30% for Crystal Palace.

What is the recent form of Fulham and Crystal Palace?

Fulham form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. Crystal Palace form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Crystal Palace is severely handicapped by the loss of Jean-Philippe Mateta (thigh) and Ismaïla Sarr (groin), removing their primary physical threat up front. Chadi Riad remains out, leaving a gap in central defense that loanee Axel Disasi may have to fill without proper integration. Fulham misses veteran Tom Cairney (knee), but the presence of Emile Smith Rowe and Sander Berge provides ample creative coverage in the middle.

What is the most likely correct score for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

According to the score probability matrix, 2-0 is the most likely scoreline (15%), followed by 1-0 (13%) and 1-1 (12%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Fulham Tactical Dominance (58%): Fulham controls the midfield and exploits Palace's experimental defense to secure their first three points of the season. — Tense Low-Scoring Draw (30%): Both teams play conservatively to avoid a third consecutive loss, resulting in a cagey 0-0 or 1-1 stalemate. — Palace Counter-Attack Surprise (12%): Despite missing Mateta, Palace uses the pace of Nketiah and Yeremi Pino to punish Fulham on the break.

What are the current standings for Fulham and Crystal Palace in the Premier League?

Fulham are 16th in the Premier League with 0 points from 2 games. Crystal Palace are 18th with 0 points from 2 games.

What are the expected lineups for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Expected lineup Fulham (4-3-3): Bernd Leno, Timothy Castagne, Joachim Andersen, Calvin Bassey, Antonee Robinson, Sander Berge, Emile Smith Rowe, Alex Iwobi, Kevin, Gonzalo Garcia, Oscar Bobb. Expected lineup Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1): Dean Henderson, Marc Guehi, Chris Richards, Trevoh Chalobah, Tyrick Mitchell, Adam Wharton, Jefferson Lerma, Nathaniel Clyne, Eberechi Eze, Daichi Kamada, Edward Nketiah. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.

What time does Fulham vs Crystal Palace kick off?

Fulham vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

What are the key factors for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Fulham vs Crystal Palace: 1. Fulham has consistently outperformed its expected goals (xG) at home (avg 1.60), while Crystal Palace's away defense is leaking 2.60 goals per game. 2. Palace faces a significant attacking void with star striker Jean-Philippe Mateta ruled out due to a thigh injury, forcing a reliance on newcomer Eddie Nketiah. 3. Tactical mismatch: Álvaro Arbeloa's proactive possession-based style at Craven Cottage against a Pierre Sage defense that has conceded 6 goals in its first two matches..

Who are the key players for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Fulham vs Crystal Palace. Fulham: Gonzalo García (In Form), Joachim Andersen (Key Threat). Crystal Palace: Adam Wharton (In Form), Eddie Nketiah (Key Threat).

What are the Coach AI odds for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Fulham vs Crystal Palace: Fulham wins 42%, draw 28%, Crystal Palace wins 30%. The most likely outcome is Fulham with 42%.

What are the bookmaker odds for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Bookmakers give Fulham a 44% win probability, 28% draw and Crystal Palace 28% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 54% for Fulham, 24% draw and 22% for Crystal Palace.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.