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Fulham vs Bournemouth — Premier League Prediction 9 May 2026

Fulham
Fulham
Premier League
1
VS
2
schedule 09 May, 14:00 · Referee: Andy Madley (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Final result
0 – 1
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
✓ Outcome correct
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Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for Fulham vs Bournemouth in the Premier League. Bournemouth is the favourite with a 40% win probability. Fulham has a 34% chance of winning and 26% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Fulham vs Bournemouth

This 36th-round fixture is a high-stakes encounter for the visitors. With London weather expected to be clear and mild (17°C), the conditions favor Bournemouth's high-intensity, vertical transition style. Fulham has been formidable at home (collecting 32 points at the Cottage), but their recent 'spring slump' and lack of goal-scoring efficiency suggest they may struggle against a Bournemouth side with everything to play for.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

45%
35%
20%
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Scenario Explanation

1) AFC Bournemouth Win (45%): The Cherries' superior physical intensity and pressing traps lead to a late winner as Fulham tires in the final 20 minutes. 2) Tactical Draw (35%): Fulham's defensive organization at home (Andersen and Bassey) succeeds in neutralizing Bournemouth's direct threats, resulting in a 1-1 stalemate. 3) Fulham Home Win (20%): Fulham breaks their xG drought through a set-piece or a moment of brilliance from Smith Rowe, successfully ending Bournemouth’s long unbeaten run. Given Bournemouth's relentless pursuit of Europe and clinical form, the 1-2 away win is the most probable outcome.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
4 Aston Villa FC 38 19 8 11 +7 65
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 38 14 11 13 +6 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 +6 52
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
Fulham
Bournemouth

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.35

Home xG

1.57

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Fulham Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 1 D · 2 L
▼
▼
▼
▲
2/5 Arsenal FC 3-0 Fulham FC L 1.25
25/4 Fulham FC 1-0 Aston Villa FC W 1.38
18/4 Brentford FC 0-0 Fulham FC D 1.35
11/4 Liverpool FC 2-0 Fulham FC L 1.20
21/3 Fulham FC 3-1 Burnley FC W 1.58

Bournemouth Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 2 D · 0 L
▲
▲
3/5 AFC Bournemouth 3-0 Crystal Palace FC W 1.68
22/4 AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds United FC D 1.82
18/4 Newcastle United FC 1-2 AFC Bournemouth W 1.55
11/4 Arsenal FC 1-2 AFC Bournemouth W 1.05
20/3 AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United FC D 1.75
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Key Factors

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Bournemouth's Unprecedented Momentum: The Cherries arrive at Craven Cottage on a 15-game unbeaten streak, including recent away scalps of Arsenal and Newcastle.

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Tactical Mismatch: Andoni Iraola's 'Hybrid High Press' (low PPDA) is specifically designed to exploit Fulham’s patient, possession-based buildup under Marco Silva.

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xG Divergence: Fulham has consistently underperformed their xG in recent losses (0 goals vs Arsenal/Liverpool despite 1.2+ xG), while Bournemouth remains highly clinical through Eli Junior Kroupi.

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High Stakes: Bournemouth is locked in a fierce battle for 6th place, which could lead to a historic Champions League berth if Aston Villa wins the Europa League.

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Injuries & Absentees

Fulham is hampered by doubts over key creative outlets Alex Iwobi and Ryan Sessegnon, though the return of Sander Berge provides much-needed defensive stability in midfield. Bournemouth is boosted by the return of Justin Kluivert and Lewis Cook, with top scorer Eli Junior Kroupi (12 goals) fully fit to lead the line.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Fulham vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 34% for Fulham, 26% draw and 40% for Bournemouth.

What is the recent form of Fulham and Bournemouth?

Fulham form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Bournemouth form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Fulham vs Bournemouth?

Fulham is hampered by doubts over key creative outlets Alex Iwobi and Ryan Sessegnon, though the return of Sander Berge provides much-needed defensive stability in midfield. Bournemouth is boosted by the return of Justin Kluivert and Lewis Cook, with top scorer Eli Junior Kroupi (12 goals) fully fit to lead the line.

What are the current standings for Fulham and Bournemouth in the Premier League?

Fulham are 11th in the Premier League with 52 points from 38 games. Bournemouth are 6th with 57 points from 38 games.

What time does Fulham vs Bournemouth kick off?

Fulham vs Bournemouth kicks off on Saturday, 9 May 2026 at 16:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Fulham vs Bournemouth?

The referee for Fulham vs Bournemouth in the Premier League is Andy Madley.

What are the key factors for Fulham vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Fulham vs Bournemouth: 1. Bournemouth's Unprecedented Momentum: The Cherries arrive at Craven Cottage on a 15-game unbeaten streak, including recent away scalps of Arsenal and Newcastle. 2. Tactical Mismatch: Andoni Iraola's 'Hybrid High Press' (low PPDA) is specifically designed to exploit Fulham’s patient, possession-based buildup under Marco Silva. 3. xG Divergence: Fulham has consistently underperformed their xG in recent losses (0 goals vs Arsenal/Liverpool despite 1.2+ xG), while Bournemouth remains highly clinical through Eli Junior Kroupi. 4. High Stakes: Bournemouth is locked in a fierce battle for 6th place, which could lead to a historic Champions League berth if Aston Villa wins the Europa League..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.