Everton vs Leeds United: Premier League Prediction 26 January 2026

Everton and Leeds United drew 1-1 in the Premier League (matchday 23) on 26 January 2026.

Coach AI predicted 1-1: the exact score. The fans predicted Everton win (56%), which was not right.

Coach AI predicts 1-1 as the correct score for Everton vs Leeds United. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

Everton form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L. Leeds United form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L.

Everton is severely depleted in central areas; Jack Grealish is out long-term, and Michael Keane is suspended. Key defenders Jarrad Branthwaite and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall are doubtful, forcing David Moyes to rely on a patched-up backline. Leeds is missing center-back Jaka Bijol and winger Daniel James, while midfield engine Anton Stach is only partially fit after an adductor issue.

Everton score at home 1.3 goals on average and concede 1.4 (11 matches). Leeds United score away 1.0 goals on average and concede 2.2 (11 matches).

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Everton and Leeds United: Everton won 0, Leeds United won 1 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 0-1.

The last meeting was on 18 Aug 2025: Leeds United - Everton 1-0.

Among Football Meister players, 56% back a home win for Everton, 44% a draw, and 0% an away win for Leeds United. The most predicted scoreline is 1-0. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Everton: fans pick 56% home win, Coach AI calculates 39%.

The most predicted scoreline for Everton vs Leeds United is 1-0. Of all Football Meister players, 56% back Everton, 44% a draw and 0% Leeds United.

Everton are 8th in the Premier League with 10 points from 7 games. Leeds United are 7th with 10 points from 7 games.

Everton vs Leeds United kicks off on Monday, 26 January 2026 at 20:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

The referee for Everton vs Leeds United in the Premier League is Simon Hooper.

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Everton vs Leeds United: 1. Creativity Crisis: Everton lose on-loan star Jack Grealish to a stress fracture; he was the league's top open-play chance creator (38 chances) and Everton's primary assist provider. 2. The Homecoming Narrative: Former Everton talisman Dominic Calvert-Lewin returns to Merseyside in peak form, leading Leeds with 9 league goals this season. 3. Stadium Curse: Despite being 10th, Everton have struggled at their new Hill Dickinson Stadium, going winless in their last four home matches (L3 D1) compared to a strong away record..

Coach AI sees Everton as the stronger side in Everton vs Leeds United. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.