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Everton vs Crystal Palace — Premier League Prediction 22 August 2026

Everton
Everton
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 22 Aug, 16:00
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 13 Aug 2026

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Everton vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Everton is the favourite with a 44% win probability. Crystal Palace has a 28% chance of winning and 28% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Everton vs Crystal Palace

This is the 2026/27 Premier League season opener. The 'New Stadium' factor is the primary narrative; the emotional energy at the Hill Dickinson Stadium (Bramley-Moore Dock) is expected to be overwhelming. Tactically, David Moyes has Everton playing with high efficiency, evidenced by a 3-1 pre-season win over Newcastle, while Oliver Glasner’s Palace are still adjusting to the loss of key defender Maxence Lacroix (sold to Chelsea).

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analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

62%
25%
13%

Hill Dickinson Inauguration Bounce

62%

Everton rides the wave of 52,000 fans at their new home; Thierno Barry scores early, and Palace's depleted midfield fails to recover.

Mid-Summer Tactical Stalemate

25%

High temperatures and early-season rust leads to a low-intensity 1-1 draw where both teams prioritize defensive shape over risks.

Eze Masterclass Counter

13%

Crystal Palace stays compact and Eberechi Eze exploits Everton's right-back weakness to steal an away win against the run of play.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
Everton
Crystal Palace
percent

Coach AI Odds

Everton
44% · 28% · 28%
Crystal Palace
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.38

Home xG

1.24

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Everton Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 2 D · 3 L
24/5 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-0 Everton FC L 1.38
17/5 Everton FC 1-3 Sunderland AFC L 1.34
10/5 Crystal Palace FC 2-2 Everton FC D 1.18
4/5 Everton FC 3-3 Manchester City FC D 1.05
25/4 West Ham United FC 2-1 Everton FC L 1.25

Crystal Palace Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 2 D · 3 L
24/5 Crystal Palace FC 1-2 Arsenal FC L 1.10
17/5 Brentford FC 2-2 Crystal Palace FC D 1.04
13/5 Manchester City FC 3-0 Crystal Palace FC L 0.92
10/5 Crystal Palace FC 2-2 Everton FC D 1.54
3/5 AFC Bournemouth 3-0 Crystal Palace FC L 1.22
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

The match marks the historic first competitive game at Everton's brand-new Hill Dickinson Stadium, creating an immense psychological advantage for the home side.

trending_up 2

A major squad swap sees Brennan Johnson debut for Everton against his former club, while Dwight McNeil returns to Goodison Park in a Crystal Palace shirt.

person 3

Crystal Palace are severely weakened in midfield and attack with Adam Wharton (ankle) and Edward Nketiah (injury) both ruled out.

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Injuries & Absentees

Everton are carefully managing Jarrad Branthwaite's return from a hamstring injury, but he is expected to lead a backline that has a 'blindingly obvious' hole at right-back following Seamus Coleman's departure. Crystal Palace face a crisis in central creativity; the absence of Adam Wharton (ankle) removes their primary ball-progressor, while Nketiah's injury leaves them reliant on newly re-signed loan winger Evann Guessand to provide sparks upfront.

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Key Players

Everton

Thierno Barry ST
personIn Form
Iliman Ndiaye CAM
personKey Threat

Crystal Palace

Eberechi Eze CAM
personKey Threat
Dwight McNeil LW
personIn Form

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 44% for Everton, 28% draw and 28% for Crystal Palace.

What is the recent form of Everton and Crystal Palace?

Everton form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L. Crystal Palace form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Everton are carefully managing Jarrad Branthwaite's return from a hamstring injury, but he is expected to lead a backline that has a 'blindingly obvious' hole at right-back following Seamus Coleman's departure. Crystal Palace face a crisis in central creativity; the absence of Adam Wharton (ankle) removes their primary ball-progressor, while Nketiah's injury leaves them reliant on newly re-signed loan winger Evann Guessand to provide sparks upfront.

What are the possible match scenarios for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Hill Dickinson Inauguration Bounce (62%): Everton rides the wave of 52,000 fans at their new home; Thierno Barry scores early, and Palace's depleted midfield fails to recover. — Mid-Summer Tactical Stalemate (25%): High temperatures and early-season rust leads to a low-intensity 1-1 draw where both teams prioritize defensive shape over risks. — Eze Masterclass Counter (13%): Crystal Palace stays compact and Eberechi Eze exploits Everton's right-back weakness to steal an away win against the run of play.

What are the current standings for Everton and Crystal Palace in the Premier League?

Everton are 13th in the Premier League with 49 points from 38 games. Crystal Palace are 15th with 45 points from 38 games.

What time does Everton vs Crystal Palace kick off?

Everton vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Saturday, 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

What are the key factors for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Everton vs Crystal Palace: 1. The match marks the historic first competitive game at Everton's brand-new Hill Dickinson Stadium, creating an immense psychological advantage for the home side. 2. A major squad swap sees Brennan Johnson debut for Everton against his former club, while Dwight McNeil returns to Goodison Park in a Crystal Palace shirt. 3. Crystal Palace are severely weakened in midfield and attack with Adam Wharton (ankle) and Edward Nketiah (injury) both ruled out..

Who are the key players for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Everton vs Crystal Palace. Everton: Thierno Barry (In Form), Iliman Ndiaye (Key Threat). Crystal Palace: Eberechi Eze (Key Threat), Dwight McNeil (In Form).

What are the Coach AI odds for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Everton vs Crystal Palace: Everton wins 44%, draw 28%, Crystal Palace wins 28%. The most likely outcome is Everton with 44%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.