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Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa — Premier League Prediction 3 December 2025

Brighton Hove
Brighton Hove
Premier League
1
VS
2
schedule 03 Dec, 19:30 · Referee: Andy Madley (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Final result
3 – 4
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa in the Premier League. Brighton Hove is the favourite with a 38% win probability. Aston Villa has a 34% chance of winning and 28% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa

Context coming soon.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
2 Manchester City FC 38 23 9 6 +42 78
3 Manchester United FC 38 20 11 7 +19 71
4 Aston Villa FC 38 19 8 11 +7 65
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 38 14 11 13 +6 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 +6 52
Brighton Hove
Aston Villa

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Brighton Hove Recent Form — Last 5

Aston Villa Recent Form — Last 5

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Key Factors

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Aston Villa's outstanding recent form: They are on a five-match winning run in all competitions and have won seven of their last eight Premier League games.

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Aston Villa's strong defensive record: They have conceded only six goals since September 28th, with only league leaders Arsenal conceding fewer (11 goals total).

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Brighton's solid home form: The Seagulls are unbeaten in six home games, securing four wins and two draws.

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Aston Villa's dominant head-to-head record: Historically, Villa has a significant advantage over Brighton, winning 19 of 35 previous meetings, including three of their last four visits to the Amex.

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Impact of injuries on both squads: Brighton has several key players out or doubtful, while Aston Villa is missing Ross Barkley and Tyrone Mings.

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Injuries & Absentees

Brighton & Hove Albion has several significant absentees. Adam Webster is out with a cruciate ligament injury until June 2026, and Solly March is sidelined after knee surgery until December 13, 2025. James Milner has been out for over five weeks with a muscle injury. Kaoru Mitoma (ankle) is a possibility to return and is 'really close' to being an option for the squad, potentially from the bench. Georginio Rutter (head injury) did not suffer a concussion but is following protocols and is hoped to be available. For Aston Villa, Ross Barkley is a major loss, ruled out for 8-12 weeks with a knee injury. Centre-back Tyrone Mings remains a long-term absentee with a hamstring injury, expected to be out for another four weeks and not back until 2026.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 38% for Brighton Hove, 28% draw and 34% for Aston Villa.

What is the recent form of Brighton Hove and Aston Villa?

Brighton Hove form (last 5): no data. Aston Villa form (last 5): no data.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa?

Brighton & Hove Albion has several significant absentees. Adam Webster is out with a cruciate ligament injury until June 2026, and Solly March is sidelined after knee surgery until December 13, 2025. James Milner has been out for over five weeks with a muscle injury. Kaoru Mitoma (ankle) is a possibility to return and is 'really close' to being an option for the squad, potentially from the bench. Georginio Rutter (head injury) did not suffer a concussion but is following protocols and is hoped to be available. For Aston Villa, Ross Barkley is a major loss, ruled out for 8-12 weeks with a knee injury. Centre-back Tyrone Mings remains a long-term absentee with a hamstring injury, expected to be out for another four weeks and not back until 2026.

What are the current standings for Brighton Hove and Aston Villa in the Premier League?

Brighton Hove are 8th in the Premier League with 53 points from 38 games. Aston Villa are 4th with 65 points from 38 games.

What time does Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa kick off?

Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa kicks off on Wednesday, 3 December 2025 at 20:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa?

The referee for Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa in the Premier League is Andy Madley.

What are the key factors for Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa: 1. Aston Villa's outstanding recent form: They are on a five-match winning run in all competitions and have won seven of their last eight Premier League games. 2. Aston Villa's strong defensive record: They have conceded only six goals since September 28th, with only league leaders Arsenal conceding fewer (11 goals total). 3. Brighton's solid home form: The Seagulls are unbeaten in six home games, securing four wins and two draws. 4. Aston Villa's dominant head-to-head record: Historically, Villa has a significant advantage over Brighton, winning 19 of 35 previous meetings, including three of their last four visits to the Amex. 5. Impact of injuries on both squads: Brighton has several key players out or doubtful, while Aston Villa is missing Ross Barkley and Tyrone Mings..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.